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MaltaToday survey • PN leads Labour among post secondary educated

Voters with a post-secondary level of education could hold the balance in next May’s election survey shows

james
James Debono
19 March 2014, 12:00pm
PN Leader Simon Busuttil only enjoys a superior trust rating among University educated respondents
PN Leader Simon Busuttil only enjoys a superior trust rating among University educated respondents
The Nationalist Party is leading the Labour Party among respondents who have a post-secondary or university-level of education. But only respondents with a university level of education trust Busuttil more than Muscat. 

MaltaToday survey: more results here

The survey indicates that respondents with a post-secondary level of education who have not attended university could hold the balance in next May’s election.

In this strategic category, Labour trailed the PN before the 2008 general election but successfully established a lead before the 2013 election.

In the latest survey, the PN is leading the PL by 4 points when it comes to voting intentions for next May’s MEP elections. However, Joseph
Muscat leads Busuttil by 12 points in the trust barometer.  

In this category, 48% approve Muscat’s performance while 50% deem his performance as either neutral, or bad.

Significantly, in this educational group, 19% trust neither leader. This educational group registers the highest number of undecided voters (35.1%). A further 5% would not vote.

The PN enjoys a significant 7-point lead among university-educated voters. Busuttil also enjoys a 3-point advantage over Muscat, down from 10 points in December. In this category, only 32% express a positive judgement on Muscat in his role as PM.

Post-secondary and university-educated respondents are the most likely not to trust any of the two leaders. In both categories, 19% trust neither leader while a significant 10% will not be voting.

Secondary and primary-educated voters are more predictable in their choices. In both groups, Labour enjoys a 13-point lead while Muscat enjoys an insurmountable 24-point lead over Busuttil.

Younger voters tend to be more likely to vote Labour than older respondents. The Labour Party is leading the PN by 9 points among 18- to 34-year-olds.  

But the advantage falls to 5 points among 35- to 54-year-olds and to 7 points among over 66-year-olds. Younger voters are also the most likely to say that they will not be voting (17%) and the most undecided (33.3%).   

In the trust barometer, Muscat leads Busuttil in all age groups, and is more popular among younger voters. The highest percentage of respondents who trust neither leader is found among those aged between 35 and 54 years, while the highest percentage of those undecided between the two leaders is found among those aged 18 and 34.

Alternattiva Demokratika’s support is restricted to respondents with a post-secondary level of education. Among university respondents, support for the greens rises to 6%.

551 respondents were contacted by telephone between Monday 10 March and Thursday 13 March. 400 accepted to be interviewed.  The results of the survey were weighed to reflect the age and gender balance of the population. The survey has a margin of error of +/-4.9%.

james
James Debono is MaltaToday's chief reporter on environment, planning and land use issues, ...