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The European Central Bank announces their decision on policy and interest rates with the US markets gearing up for corporate reporting in earnings

Calamatta Cuschieri
17 July 2017, 9:22am
The European second quarter growth may show signs of a further easing of inflationary pressures which tend to put the Central Bank on the cautious side
The European second quarter growth may show signs of a further easing of inflationary pressures which tend to put the Central Bank on the cautious side

On the economic front, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the European Central Bank (ECB) announce their decisions on policy and interest rates. For the ECB, no change is expected here but some discussion on the outlook of quantitative easing is likely. In fact, analysts are on the lookout for fresh signals as to the timing of a tightening monetary policy after the recent hawkish remarks from ECB President Draghi. The European second quarter growth may show signs of a further easing of inflationary pressures which tend to put the Central Bank on the cautious side. Although, Draghi’s remarks have boosted speculation that the ECB could announce a reduction in asset purchase (QE) as soon as September.


In Japan, the BOJ is set to reveal its latest quarterly outlook report, containing new projections for economic growth and inflation, and simultaneously announces its policy decision. Changes to current policy are not expected as subdued inflation remains an issue.


Other key data highlights include UK retail sales and inflation, which will help to gauge the timing of the first rate hike by the Bank of England. A steeper than expected rise in UK inflation has been one of the reasons why policy makers in England should opt for a rate hike. This is the reason why the June CPI release is eagerly awaited for. The inflation not only surpassed the target of the Bank of England, but also reached a nearly four-year high. On the other hand, the consumer spending has been squeezed, as a result of falling wages.


Meanwhile, a second quarter GDP data release from China will be eyed for signs of the economy slowing. The annual growth rate in the second quarter is expected to decrease when compared to that of the first quarter. Data showed that expansion in the three months to June was below that seen in the first quarter and was the lowest for the year, supporting a softer quarter two growth in the current economic growth scenario.


The US initial jobless claims is expected on Thursday, with two hundred and forty seven claims expected, compared to a thousand less a week earlier. Moreover, the US earnings season begins to move into high gear, with a wide selection of US firms reporting earnings.


This article was issued by Rodrick Duca, Trader at Calamatta Cuschieri. For more information visit, The information, view and opinions provided in this article is being provided solely for educational and informational purposes and should not be construed as investment advice, advice concerning particular investments or investment decisions, or tax or legal advice. Calamatta Cuschieri Investment Services Ltd has not verified and consequently neither warrants the accuracy nor the veracity of any information, views or opinions appearing on this website.

Calamatta Cuschieri is one of Malta’s largest financial services firms. The company offe...
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