Euro 2024: Who will win? A supercomputer's top picks

England and France Lead the Charge as Germany, Spain, and Portugal Await Their Chance


With 24 nations vying for supremacy in Germany, Euro 2024 promises to be a thrilling spectacle. The Opta Supercomputer, after 10,000 simulations, has highlighted five top contenders. Let's dive into the predictions to see who has the best shot at the trophy.

England: The favorites with unfinished business

The supercomputer gives England a 19.9% chance of winning Euro 2024. Gareth Southgate's squad, featuring stars like Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, and Phil Foden, looks set to overcome their previous heartbreak against Italy. England's group stage, facing Denmark, Serbia, and Slovenia, is expected to be a breeze, with a 95.4% chance of reaching the last 16. Their chances of making the quarter-finals stand at 70%, and they have a 48.2% chance of reaching the semis. A potential semi-final against France could be the pivotal match.

France: The near favorites with star power

France, just behind England with a 19.1% chance of victory, are led by Kylian Mbappé and Antoine Griezmann. With Griezmann's 18 goal involvements since Euro 2016 and Mbappé's scoring prowess, France are a formidable team. They are predicted to top Group D 57.9% of the time and have a 48.1% chance of making the semis. A potential semi-final against England could be crucial.

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Germany: Hosts with home advantage

Germany, with a 12.4% chance of winning, aim to leverage their home advantage despite recent struggles in major tournaments. Key players like Manuel Neuer and new talents could be decisive. Germany's performance in Group A, featuring Switzerland and Romania, will be critical. They have a 36.5% chance of reaching the semi-finals.

Spain: The strategic contenders

Spain, given a 9.6% chance of winning, are top picks from Group B, which includes Italy, Croatia, and Albania. Known for their resilience in knockout matches, Spain are expected to reach the quarter-finals 59.1% of the time. Led by Álvaro Morata, Spain's knack for grinding out results could see them through tough matches.

Portugal: The dark horses with Ronaldo's legacy

Portugal, with a 9.2% chance of victory, remain serious contenders. Cristiano Ronaldo aims to score in a record-extending sixth Euro tournament, supported by Bruno Fernandes' creative brilliance. Portugal's perfect qualifying campaign sets them up for a strong showing. They have a 93.6% chance of reaching the last 16 and a 33.6% chance of making the semis, making them potential surprise winners.

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